Malachi Latimer
@MrMoneyManETO
United Kingdom
Market summary for next week: Markets are sitting near all-time highs, but things are feeling a little tense. After a massive AI-driven rally, Wall Street pulled back slightly at the end of last week as investors took some profits. Three major things will guide where the market goes this week: 1. The Big One: Nvidia Earnings (Wednesday) If there is one event that could move the entire market, it’s Nvidia reporting earnings on Wednesday afternoon. Because artificial intelligence optimism has been the main engine behind the market’s record highs, everyone is waiting to see if Nvidia's numbers justify the massive stock prices. With that said, Nvidia has already had a huge run and i’m expecting modest gains at best even with stellar earnings. Other major retail heavyweights are also reporting this week, giving us a clear view of how everyday consumers are spending. Keep an eye out for:  Tuesday: Home Depot  Wednesday: Target, Lowe's, and TJX Thursday: Walmart and Deere & Co. - 2. The Fed Last week’s wholesale inflation data (PPI) came in hotter than expected, which has investors worried that inflation is proving sticky. This week, macro-investors will be focusing on:  The Fed Minutes (Wednesday): The Federal Reserve will release the notes from its last meeting. Investors will scan these to see how close central bankers are to actually cutting interest rates—or if they plan to keep them higher for longer.  Economic Data (Thursday): We get fresh updates on Flash PMIs (which show business activity) and housing market data.  - 3. Geopolitical Background Noise The ongoing conflict involving Iran continues to simmer in the background. It pushed oil prices up toward $105 a barrel last week, which in turn pushes up bond yields (the 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5.1%). Higher bond yields usually put downward pressure on stocks because they give investors a safe place to make a decent return. - Brief outlook: The Bull Case: Corporate America is fundamentally healthy. S&P 500 earnings are solid, and the secular tailwind of AI and automation continues to drive long-term optimism, keeping major indexes hovering near record highs despite occasional profit-taking.  The Bear Case: Short-term momentum is hitting friction. Wholesale inflation (PPI) just notched a hotter-than-expected 1.4% jump, real wages fell for the first time in three years, and high oil prices ($105/barrel) are pushing bond yields to uncomfortable territory. This gives the Federal Reserve every reason to delay cutting interest rates.  Likely outcomes : Expect a choppy, headline-driven week. If Nvidia smashes expectations on Wednesday, tech will likely pull the broader market up with it. If they miss, or if the Fed minutes skew hawkish, we will likely see a deeper pullback. $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $BTC $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) $OIL Whats your prediction for this week?
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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