Stefano Ceragioli
Good morning copiers and followers, as mentioned in the monthly update, I decided to close all positions ($ETH $SOL etc.) to focus exclusively on $BTC in the coming months. Today I closed the last Bitcoin position: the decision comes from the assessment that, at this moment, the risk/reward balance does not allow me the peace of mind I look for in my investments โš–๏ธ. I didnโ€™t close at the absolute peak of the portfolio (about +9% above current levels), but we are still in profit with an annual return of 14.67% ๐Ÿ“ˆ and a reduction in overall portfolio risk. A concrete and meaningful result. This closure was not an impulsive move, but an act of discipline: securing results and putting myself in a position to observe the market with clarity, ready to re-enter when conditions are more favorable. As a line from an Italian song says, โ€œI will learn not to get on every train because missing some is good for the mindโ€ ๐Ÿš‚๐Ÿ˜‰. From a technical perspective, historical cycles show that after the April 2024 halving, the market followed the classic pattern leading to the new ATH. We are now in an intermediate phase, historically marked by both deep consolidations and sudden accelerations. Large drawdowns after highs are recurrent ๐Ÿ“‰, but extended bullish phases before corrections are also possible. ๐Ÿ‘‰ All scenarios remain open: Consolidation scenario โ†’ return to dynamic supports, consistent with previous cycles. Bullish continuation scenario โ†’ extension of the annual trend, supported by liquidity and post-halving narrative. My exit puts me in the ideal position: out of volatility and free to choose when and how to re-enter. If a pullback occurs, I can accumulate with discipline; if BTC continues to run, I can plan partial entries without being driven by emotion. ๐ŸŽฏ Final goal: accumulate at the next four-year cycle close. With a portfolio free from constraints, I now have the flexibility to take advantage of upcoming market moves without pressure or stress. In this regard, I want to show you the results achieved on the virtual portfolio, simply by buying at the right time with the available liquidity. Disclaimer โš ๏ธ: the information presented in this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, solicitation, or financial recommendation. Any investment decisions should be made independently, carefully considering risks, objectives, and personal circumstances.
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