Davide Semilia @DavideSemilia: "95% of One Material. One..."

Italy

95% of One Material. One Country. Your Portfolio Cares. 95%. That's how much of the world's rare earth processing happens in one country. Not oil. Not semiconductors. Rare earths — the minerals inside every iPhone, every F-35 fighter jet, every Tesla motor. China doesn't just mine them. They refine them, process them, and control the entire supply chain from dirt to finished magnet. And right now, as trade tensions escalate, Beijing has a kill switch most investors aren't even thinking about. Here's why this matters more than tariffs. You can reroute a cargo ship. You can find a new factory. But you cannot conjure a rare earth processing facility overnight — it takes 7-10 years and billions in capital to build one from scratch. The US currently has exactly one operational rare earth mine. One. Some companies are racing to change this. $MP (MP Materials Corp.) Materials runs that single US mine and is building domestic processing capacity. $LYSCF in Australia is positioning as the Western alternative. Defense contractors like $LMT (Lockheed Martin Corporation) and $RTX (Raytheon-Technologies) are quietly scrambling to derisk their supply chains. But let's be honest — even the optimistic timeline for reducing China's grip is measured in years, not quarters. Any escalation in trade tensions before then puts tech and defense names in a vulnerable spot that most portfolio models aren't pricing in. The real trade here isn't panic. It's awareness. Know which of your holdings depend on materials controlled by a single geopolitical rival, and size your positions accordingly.

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.

3 Mentioned

MP Materials Corp.

LMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation

RTX

Raytheon-Technologies

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