Nicolas Oddo
Nicolas Oddo
United Kingdom
๐Ÿ’ก ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ’ก Dear copiers and followers, I'm on a 2-week holiday so I won't be writing much until I'm back in London on August 10. I'm still following what happens on the markets though, so here is a quick update on what I'm looking at: ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€: The Q2 earnings season is shaping the markets, so that's definitely the most interesting bit to follow at the moment. Key points: ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ด๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€, ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป, ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐˜… ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ. Since then, the $NSDQ100 has been dipping. I personally think this is a good news for the portfolio, since it owns a lot of companies (Hexatronic, Micon, Samsung etc) that will ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐— ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐— ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ณ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ will give a better idea of where the overall market is going. I'll be interested to see whether they stick to their capex plans, or forecast to spend more or less. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—œ๐— ๐—–๐—— ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด, which along with Azelis represent about 4% of the portfolio. This is a great sign that the specialty chemicals market is finally recovering after years of slump, and I'm glad I got into these stocks when they were really cheap! ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜: I'm following this but not keen to trade any news, as the situation keeps evolving very fast and someone with a Truth social account keeps trying to influence the markets with his posts. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ผ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป; ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—œ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†, and $OIL dropped 10% over the weekend, which is always good from an inflation point of view. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฑ: ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜, along with guidance for the rest of the year. Expectations are for the rates to remain unchanged, so the most interesting part will be the conference and tone (hawkish / dovish). ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ: The portfolio's performance in July is poor, along with the markets. As always, patience is key, and ๐—œ'๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ผ. I'm also still holding close to 15% of the portfolio in bonds, so ๐—ถ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฝ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐˜€, ๐—œ'๐—น๐—น ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€. Please let me know if you have any questions in the comments. Thank you, trade safe and take care, Nico $SPX500
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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