Hi everyone,
The latest global economic updates continue to be shaped by rising geopolitical tensions and shifting trade policies, especially between the United States, the European Union, and China. One of the main developments is President Trump’s decision to delay the planned 50 percent tariff on EU imports until July 9, following talks with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. This move has eased immediate fears of a transatlantic trade clash and gives both sides more time to negotiate. The EU remains cautiously hopeful that some sort of deal can be worked out, but the risk of tariffs hasn't gone away.
In addition, a federal judge has blocked parts of the new tariffs. The court ruled that the administration may have overstepped its legal authority under the current trade laws. This doesn't cancel all the measures, but it does stop enforcement of some key parts for now and adds more legal uncertainty around how these tariffs are being applied. Markets reacted positively to both the delay and the court ruling. Stocks had their best daily gain in weeks, helped by this news and some better-than-expected economic data. The overall uncertainty is still there, but for now, investors seem a bit more relaxed.
On the bond side, I was able to shift back into 20-year Treasuries after yields moved higher again. I had previously rotated into shorter-term bonds while waiting, but the jump in yields made it worth switching back. That part of the portfolio continues to provide consistent returns with relatively low risk.
As for equities, things are going well considering how weak small caps have been this year. $U (Unity Software Inc.), $ROKU (Roku Inc), and small cap ETFs such as $IWM (Ishares Russell 2000 ETF) are still negative year-to-date, but the portfolio is in positive territory. That’s a good sign, since it means the gains have come without needing a small cap rebound yet.
I've been staying active and adjusting the portfolio to take advantage of the volatility, and it’s been paying off. When small caps eventually rebound and start to catch up, that’s when everything should really come together. The groundwork is already in place, and the upside potential from here could be even stronger.
As always, thank you for copying!... Show More
Il rinvio dei dazi e la battuta d’arresto legale offrono respiro ai mercati e mantengono aperto il dialogo. Nel lungo termine però, l’instabilità normativa e le tensioni commerciali restano rischi strutturali per l’allocazione globale dei capitali.... Show More Translate
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Sat Nov 15 2025 00:42:27 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
