๐๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐๐ผ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐: ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ ๐จ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ ($NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation), Shutdown, $MSTR (Strategy Inc))
The crypto market is facing a confluence of three major shocks. I have reduced my exposure for the following reasons.
๐. ๐๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐ฌ
- Shutdown Ends: Congress concluded a record-long six-week budget paralysis on November 12, 2025. This political resolution failed to trigger the expected rebound in equity markets, signaling underlying weakness.
- Thanksgiving Cut-off: US markets are closed today. The absence of institutional liquidity via ETFs increases the risk of amplified volatility and false signals for Bitcoin.
๐. ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ก๐จ๐๐ค: ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง
- Bitcoin is highly correlated with the NASDAQ (a high-risk Tech asset).
- Nvidia Drop: The rumor of a partnership between Meta and Google regarding AI chips (TPUs) threatens Nvidia's monopoly. This major uncertainty caused $NVDA to drop sharply, leading to contagion in the Crypto market.
๐. ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐
- $MSTR: The stock is collapsing due to the compression of its speculative premium (Premium vs. NAV). The stock's volatility threatens its continued inclusion in certain indices, adding pressure on institutional players.
๐ ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: ๐ ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ก
- Action: I have reduced my crypto exposure.
- Risk Management: I am holding a significant amount of cash to be able to re-enter the market when the entry signals permit.
- Focus: I am stepping away from the noise to concentrate on the development of our asset analysis tool. We are in the final phase before metric validation. I will wait for the clear signal from our system to act, instead of reacting to rumors.
Caution is advised. Fundamentals are being overshadowed by external shocks.... Show More
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Sun Jan 25 2026 02:56:56 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
