Hello investors, these are my thoughts from the previous weeks:
First of all, the $SPX500 was down -2.3% on the week and the $IWM (Ishares Russell 2000 ETF) -2.9%. Growth stocks like $ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) were down -14% which another sign showing they will carry on being in trouble in my honest opinion. Or at least more than value stocks, for the time being, as we are discounting future earnings by a higher interest rate. It appears that if the FED will stay with higher rates for longer, the economy will be weaker for longer so the shift to more value/dividend paying stocks is becoming more evident.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are getting hammered as the idea of scarcity in those assets is not sustainable when you have like 20,000 different projects and less money chasing them. Bond yields are rising while the yield curve continues to invert pointing to an unfounded (as far as I’m concerned) confidence that investors have in the FED concerning its future “fight” against inflation.
The $ is in parity with the €, another sign that they believe the FED will keep a hawkish stance. It's sure going to keep pretending to fight it.
Retail sales are flat at best (they are actually buying less products, but paying more for them) and home sales have been declining for the past 5-6 months.
What a wonderful picture we’re painting here.. 😅
So, a short term conclusion?
It feels like we have been riding a train of continuous confirmations since 2020, unfortunately.
We should focus on the bigger picture and not on all what those leading / lagging indicators show for the time being.
We should just pay attention to productivity as that is clearest indicator of all economies and it has been falling steadily all over the world.
So, definitely my answer is DIVERSIFICATION across all sectors and geographies by accumulating low debt/debt free companies that actually have earnings and free cash flows. Buy precious metals as their price is / will be falling and keep cash to the side because in my best case scenario we’ll buy some assets with it, in the worst case scenario rising political tensions, wars and supply shocks will have us not thinking about any indicator anyway.
@ isbellerazors... Show More
Very good, very good results....
Unfortunately your copiers are decreasing dramatically, maybe because very sadly you left them crazy losses ?
Will you ever do anything about this situation ?
Or will I have to be yet another copier that you will abandon there without any hope ?
😒😒😒... Show More
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Fri Nov 14 2025 20:19:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
