Nejc Cajner
๐Ÿ”” ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฉ: ๐…๐ž๐, ๐’๐ก๐ฎ๐ญ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง & ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก ๐’๐ก๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ž Hereโ€™s whatโ€™s dominating the headlines right now: ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐‘ญ๐’†๐’… ๐‘ซ๐’Š๐’—๐’Š๐’…๐’†๐’… ๐‘จ๐’Ž๐’Š๐’… ๐‘ซ๐’‚๐’•๐’‚ ๐‘ฉ๐’๐’‚๐’„๐’Œ๐’๐’–๐’• With the government shutdown crippling key economic reporting, Fed officials are split on how aggressive the next rate cuts should be. Some worry theyโ€™re flying blind without fresh data. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐‘ถ๐’“๐’‚๐’„๐’๐’† ๐‘ณ๐’†๐’‚๐’…๐’” ๐‘ป๐’†๐’„๐’‰ ๐‘บ๐’†๐’๐’๐’๐’‡๐’‡ $ORCL (Oracle Corporation) shares fell sharply after reports that its AI cloud business is generating thin margins, especially due to its heavy reliance on $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) GPUs. This is a stark reminder that high growth in AI is not always matched by high profitability, especially in the infrastructure layer. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐‘ป๐’†๐’”๐’๐’‚ ๐‘ณ๐’๐’˜๐’†๐’“๐’” ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’†๐’”, ๐‘ด๐’‚๐’“๐’Œ๐’†๐’• ๐‘น๐’†๐’‚๐’„๐’•๐’” Amid fading EV subsidies in the U.S., $TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) introduced more affordable variants of its Model Y and Model 3. Retail buzz was strong, but the stock dropped ~4โ€“5% as investors questioned margin sustainability and skipping features. ๐Ÿ’ก ๐‘ด๐’š ๐‘ป๐’‚๐’Œ๐’† & ๐‘พ๐’‰๐’‚๐’•โ€™๐’” ๐‘ต๐’†๐’™๐’• The shutdown-induced data blackout is becoming a serious headwind for monetary policy. Without reliable inflation, jobs, or consumer data, the Fedโ€™s decisions become riskier. Oracleโ€™s margin squeeze is a warning shot: infrastructure is capital-intensive, and itโ€™s harder to scale clean profits in AI than many expect. Teslaโ€™s pricing pivot is bold, but premium features are being stripped. Itโ€™s a balancing act โ€” attract volume vs preserve margin. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Question for you: Which headline do you think will have the biggest impact in the near term โ€” the Fedโ€™s blindfolded decision-making, Oracleโ€™s profitability squeeze, or Teslaโ€™s affordability gamble? If you enjoy these macro + tech crossovers and want to see how I navigate them live, feel free to follow or copy my portfolio. You can start with as little as 200$. YTD we're up more than 35% and over 2y period, our portfolio is up more than 85%. As always, thank you for your time, and best regards, Nejc. $SPX500 $QQQ (Invesco QQQ)
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