Wesley Nolte
Wesley Nolte
United Kingdom
๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ 2025 was a good year. My portfolio returned +๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿด.๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฒ%, helped by staying invested through the wobbles while keeping low-volatility assets ready to deploy. ๐™†๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™๐™๐™š๐™ข๐™š๐™จ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง 2026 Trump is expected to ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ โ€œearly 2026โ€, and Kevin Hassett is the frontrunner. He's more dovish than Powell, and Trump has made clear he wants rates lower. A friendlier Fed could be a tailwind for risk assets. AI capex keeps climbing. Hyperscaler (e.g. AWS, Azure, GCP) spending is forecast to hit USD 600B+ in 2026, up 36%. The question: ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€? Oracle's December miss was a reminder that spending can run ahead of returns. ๐—š๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ. The US captured Venezuela's president over the weekend, and Trump immediately revived talk of taking Greenland too. Denmark is rattled. Uncertainty, but also a reminder of shifting US strategic priorities. ๐™Š๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ค๐™  The economy looks stable. Inflation easing, rate cuts on the table, and lagging sectors are catching up. The Russell 2000 is just off record highs after years of underperformance. Sectors that rely on loans (and therefore interest rates), such as real estate, should benefit as borrowing costs come down. ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค Iโ€™ve closed out my $9988.HK (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Hong Kong)) position for now as I believe there are better opportunities. Iโ€™m considering: * Growing $ACN (Accenture Plc): -30% off highs, strong AI bookings, partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic. Enterprise AI "picks and shovels" at a reasonable price. * Trimming $FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc): Up > 50% in 3 months on record copper prices. Valuation stretched. * Growing $MSFT (Microsoft): Down 13% from ATH, underperformed AI peers in 2025. Azure +40% growth and fundamentals are solid. ๐— ๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป: Stay invested and keep a large portion of the portfolio in ultra-low volatility assets to offset current market risks. $IWM (Ishares Russell 2000 ETF) $SPX500 $ACN $FCX $MSFT $GOOG (Alphabet) $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc)
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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