Andres Guerra Cortes
Good day everyone 👋 From a sharp reversal in equities to ramped up trade tensions, last week reminded us how fragile sentiment can be. Gold smashed records, tech got hammered, and markets are bracing for further turbulence. Let’s break down what moved and what’s next ⚖️ Stocks Drop as Trade Tensions Resurface U.S. equities ended the week with steep losses. The S&P 500 fell ~2.7%, the Dow ~1.9%, and the Nasdaq was clobbered—dropping 3.6%—after President Trump threatened “massive” new tariffs on Chinese goods in retaliation for rare earth export restrictions. 💰 Gold Hits New Highs Amid Safe Haven Demand As equities faltered and the dollar weakened, gold surged to record levels, drawing bidders seeking refuge from volatility and macro risk. 🛢 Oil Slips on Tariff Fears Crude prices fell broadly as the newly renewed U.S.–China tension cast doubt 🏛 FSB Issues Warning of Market Crash Risk The G20’s financial risk monitor, the Financial Stability Board, flagged overextended asset valuations and sovereign debt pressures as structural vulnerabilities that could spark a market correction. 🛒 Amazon Kicks Off Early Holiday Shopping Amazon launched its October Prime Days, signaling the early start to the holiday season—and delivering a test case for consumer resilience. Many retailers, including Walmart, followed suit with their own deals. 🔍 What to Expect This Week 📊 Big Bank Earnings ahead: Watch for Q3 results from JPMorgan, Goldman, Wells Fargo, and others. Their performance will test whether financials can absorb macro headwinds. 🏛 Fed Voices & Data Battles: With the government shutdown delaying many macro releases, markets will lean heavily on Fed speeches and any surprise data leaks. 📉 Volatility & Sentiment Risk: With indices already looking toppy and valuations stretched, the smallest catalyst could spark a sharp move—be ready. 💬 Final Thoughts This week reminded us how quickly markets can shift when confidence meets uncertainty. Trade tensions, volatility spikes, and fresh warnings from global regulators have kept investors on edge — but also opened space for new opportunities. As we move into the next earnings cycle, it’s all about balance: staying cautious without losing sight of the bigger picture. The smart play now is to stay diversified, patient, and focused on fundamentals rather than headlines. Wishing you all the best Un gran saludo Andrés Guerra $C (Citigroup) $BLK (BlackRock Inc) $SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) $GLD (SPDR Gold)
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