william fabrizi
"Hi William, I'm starting to worry about the markets. Do you think you're prepared to face another Black Monday?" It's a question one of my copiers asked me recently, and I believe it's worth answering publicly because I'm sure many investors are wondering the same thing. My first answer is simple: I sincerely hope we won't experience an event of that magnitude anytime soon. But my second answer is even more important. When I built this strategy, I wasn't thinking only about bull markets. I designed it around one key question: How would it perform if the markets went through one of the worst crises in history? Over the years, I have always considered the possibility that events such as the Dot-com Bubble, the Lost Decade, or other severe market crises could happen again. No one can predict when the next major downturn will occur, but every investor can choose whether to ignore that risk or prepare for it. I chose the second option. That's why risk management isn't something I start thinking about after markets begin to fall. It has always been one of the foundations of this strategy. Of course, this doesn't mean the portfolio is immune to drawdowns. Significant declines are a natural part of investing and must be accepted. However, based on the current portfolio structure and the way it is managed, in a purely hypothetical scenario where the S&P 500 were to decline by 50%, I would expect the portfolio to experience a significantly smaller drawdown, in the range of 20–25%. This is, of course, a theoretical estimate based on the strategy's characteristics, not a prediction or a guarantee. But what happens next is what truly makes the difference. During market declines, I don't simply wait for conditions to improve. I continue investing, gradually increasing exposure to the assets that I believe offer the strongest long-term potential. Every correction becomes an opportunity to buy at more attractive prices and strengthen the portfolio for the next market cycle. When markets eventually recover, the portfolio doesn't start from scratch. It begins the recovery with positions accumulated at much better valuations, creating the potential for a faster rebound and a meaningful advantage built precisely during periods of uncertainty. There's another point I'd like to share. I've been investing for many years, and the capital I manage extends well beyond this public portfolio. A significant portion of my personal wealth follows the very same principles and investment philosophy. When your capital represents years of work, experience, and sacrifice, your perspective changes completely. I've always been aware that a devastating drawdown, even if temporary, could reduce my wealth to levels I would consider unacceptable. That's why capital preservation has never been a secondary objective. It has always been an essential requirement for achieving long-term growth. And it's exactly the same approach I apply to this portfolio. In other words, I would never build a strategy that I would recommend to others without being willing to follow it myself. I believe in this strategy because it is the very same one I use to protect and grow my own capital. Thank you all for the trust you continue to place in me every day. I take that responsibility very seriously, and it motivates me to manage this portfolio with discipline, transparency, and careful risk management. Have a great day, and as always, feel free to reach out if you have any questions or would like to discuss the strategy further. $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $USDOLLAR $EURUSD
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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