Neza Molk
Slovenia
๐—”๐—น๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒโ€ฆ ๐—ช๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—จ๐—ฝ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—™๐˜‚๐—น๐—น ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐Ÿงญ๐ŸŽ…๐ŸŽ„ Last week was driven by three main themes: inflation data came in lower than expected, geopolitical tensions pushed oil back into focus, and the correction in AI-related stocks continued. Even though markets finished the week slightly higher, investors remained cautious. ๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The most important macro event was the November U.S. inflation report. Headline inflation slowed to 2.7%, while core inflation fell to 2.6%, the lowest level since early 2021. Markets reacted carefully, as October data were missing due to the government shutdown. Treasury yields moved only slightly lower, suggesting investors want clearer inflation data before changing their outlook. At the same time, the U.S. labor market is cooling. The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest level in more than four years. This is shifting investor attention away from inflation and toward the risk of slower economic growth. U.S. stock markets ended the week mixed. The Russell 2000 underperformed, showing pressure on smaller and more cyclical companies. AI-related stocks continued to struggle early in the week, but sentiment improved after the inflation data and strong guidance from parts of the semiconductor sector, helping markets avoid a larger pullback. ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European markets finished the week higher. The STOXX Europe 600 gained about 1.6%, led by Italy, the UK, and France. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, while the Bank of England surprised markets by cutting rates to 3.75%. This supported European stocks, even as economic growth and labor market data remained weak. ๐—”๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐ŸŒ Japan continues to be a major focus. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.75%, the highest level in 30 years. Yields on Japanese government bonds moved above 2%, which could have long-term effects on global capital flows as Japanese investors start bringing money back home. Despite this historic move, markets reacted calmly, and the yen weakened slightly due to a lack of guidance on what comes next. ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐Ÿข ๐— ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ป๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐˜† โ€“ the clear winner of the week, as demand for memory chips exceeds supply and capacity for 2026 is already sold out. ๐—ข๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ โ€“ remains under pressure due to concerns about financing its AI infrastructure, with the TikTok deal not solving balance-sheet issues. ๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ โ€“ warned about the impact of tariffs and weak demand in China, putting pressure on margins and raising concerns across the consumer sector. ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜‡๐—ผ๐—ป โ€“ reportedly considering another large investment in OpenAI, highlighting continued heavy spending in AI. ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—˜๐˜… โ€“ posted solid results, but investors are still worried about weakness in freight and operational challenges. ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜ โ€“ rebounded strongly from its November lows. ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ โ€“ jumped after joining government-backed AI projects, despite ongoing funding concerns. ๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐—น๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป โ€“ remains under pressure from activist investors pushing for changes in management and strategy. ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐Ÿ‘€ After last weekโ€™s softer inflation data, focus now shifts to the PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserveโ€™s preferred inflation measure. This is the final major economic release before the holidays and could influence whether markets see a year-end โ€œSanta Claus rally.โ€ ๐ŸŽ…๐Ÿ“ˆ Trade safe! Nezatron $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30
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