Marco Piccini
Dear Copytraders, US stocks: April is showing consolidation after a strong Q1. The S&P 500 is roughly flat MTD, Nasdaq slightly positive. Earnings growth expectations for Q1 remain around +6–8% YoY, with tech still leading but at a slower pace. Inflation & policy: Latest data shows CPI ~3.4% YoY and core CPI ~3.6%, still above the Fed’s 2% target. Rates remain at 4.25–4.50%, with markets now pricing 1–2 cuts in 2026 (down from earlier expectations). US 10Y yields are holding around 4.2%, keeping pressure on valuations. Global markets: Eurozone equities are slightly negative to flat MTD (~0% to -1%). Inflation continues to ease, with Eurozone CPI ~2.4% YoY. Oil is trading around $80–85/barrel, while gold remains elevated near $2,300/oz, supported by geopolitical risk and central bank demand. Italy & Europe: Italy’s inflation is stable at ~1.7–1.8% YoY, below the Eurozone average. GDP growth remains modest at ~0.6–0.7% for 2025, with unemployment near ~6%. Industrial production remains weak, while services continue to support the economy. Germany is still close to stagnation, weighing on the broader Eurozone outlook. Maintain exposure to high-quality US tech and earnings-driven names, but stay cautious on valuations. In Europe, focus on domestic demand sectors and defensive plays. Keep some allocation to gold/commodities as macro hedge and be ready for volatility spikes. Stay focused, stay consistent! #LongTermIsTheKey
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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