Dr Bull vs. Mr Bear - markets living a double life in 2025 ๐๐ป
This year has been a paradox for investors. With war headlines, inflation worries, and slowing growth, youโd expect markets to tumble. Yet the MSCI World is up ~13% YTD, with many indices at or near all-time highs.
๐น The Bull case:
Earnings momentum is strong (S&P 500 EPS growth >12% expected in 2025 & 2026).
Global rate-cut cycles support equities.
Cyclical sectors (industrials, financials, tech) and small caps show renewed strength.
๐น The Bear case:
Valuations are stretched in the US, especially mega-cap tech (Mag7 > entire European markets combined).
AI boom risks echoing the dotcom bubble.
Growth is sluggish, inflation risks linger, and sentiment remains fragile.
๐ก My view: stay near fully invested, already diversified beyond US mega-caps and plan to extend this further - adding some funds next week if good opportunities appear.
$SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF)$QQQ (Invesco QQQ)$GOLD$BTC
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๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐? ๐๐ข
After years of testing, learning, and refining - this is the portfolio Iโve built to grow over time, not just spike on luck.
๐ This isnโt about hype or guessing games. Itโs a carefully built portfolio with exposure to over 40 assets - across stocks, ETFs, and crypto.
๐ And performance? It speaks for itself.
โข 2Y Return: +187.88%
โข 2023: +62.7%
โข 2024: +49%
โข 2025 YTD: +22.84%
๐ CISI Certified โ Wealth & Investment Management
Avg. Risk Score: 4-5
If that approach aligns with your goals, you're welcome to take a closer look... Show More
The paradox is real, markets climbing despite weak macros shows just how much liquidity and earnings momentum are driving sentiment. The real test will be how long valuations can stretch before gravity kicks in.... Show More
Wo?
In gold gibt es seit 3 Jahren keine relevanten bรคren mehr.
Defakto ausgerottet.
Nur mehr bullrn und die machen tรคglich den bullrun fรผr 4k.
Einfache regeln .... Show More Translate
2 replies
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Fri Mar 13 2026 07:04:51 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
