Malachi Latimer @MrMoneyManETO: "- Nvidia reported first-quarter revenue..."

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- Nvidia reported first-quarter revenue of $81.62 billion, beating estimates. And yet markets are down. This is exactly what I expected. Markets front run earnings and when they’re actually released theres barely any reaction or a sell off. Whats of concern is that even stellar earnings can’t seem to move markets, and with so much riding on one company, one miss and it could be carnage. It seems markets are cautious to run to hot until we get some stronger catalysts or more stability Inflation concerns are also growing and there will likely not be any rate cuts this year. If the Iran conflict can be resolved we may see a nice moderate rally however for the rest of the year I’m expecting modest upside, but no parabolic rallies without some surprise crazy good news new, and mostly periods of sideways action and weakness. Lets have a quick summary of the general areas driving the markets for the rest of the year; The Warsh Fed Era: The market is highly sensitive to how new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh balances political pressure to cut rates against stubborn 3.8% inflation and aggressive balance sheet cuts. AI Profit: The initial hype has passed, meaning mega-cap tech stocks must now show concrete, enterprise-level profits from their massive AI infrastructure investments to justify current valuations. Energy & Tariff Shocks: Heightened geopolitical conflicts and shifting international trade policies risk driving up commodity prices, acting as a direct inflationary tax on corporate margins. Stretched Valuations: With major stock indices trading at historically high price multiples, the entire market has very little room for error and is highly vulnerable to swift, algorithmic sell-offs on minor bad news. What to watch for the rest of this week: Thursday: The market is bracing for a wave of morning data—including Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Index, and Flash PMI numbers—which will show if the economy is running hot enough to keep pushing inflation up. Friday: Trading wraps up for the week with the final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report, where investors will look directly at the 1-year and 5-year Inflation Expectations to see if regular Americans think prices are going to stay high. - Specific data / events to watch for the rest of the year: June (The Warsh Debut & CPI): Newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh holds his first official policy meeting (June 16–17) under immense pressure to address stubborn 3.8% CPI inflation data. July : Q2 corporate earnings season begins, forcing mega-cap tech stocks to prove their massive capital expenditures are turning into actual enterprise profits as Nvidia’s Blackwell chips ship out. August: The global central banking elite meet for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where Chairman Warsh is expected to unveil his formal multi-year plan to aggressively shrink the Fed's $7 trillion balance sheet. September: Volatility is expected to peak as a key sunset clause in global trade agreements expires, forcing a recalibration of international supply chains amid ongoing Middle East energy supply disruptions. October: The first preliminary reading of Q3 GDP drops, signalling to the bond market whether consumer spending is cooling enough to lower inflation, or if the economy is dangerously overheating. November: Following the November FOMC meeting, Wall Street will fully price in the interest rate environment heading into 2027 based on whether core inflation has successfully drifted back down toward the Fed's 2% target December: The final FOMC meeting of the year (December 8–9) drops the updated "Dot Plot" economic projections, revealing if Chairman Warsh's team expects to cut or hold rates in early 2027 while the market decides if it has the momentum for a traditional year-end Santa Claus rally. - So whats the plan for me? Well, stick to the DCA, ignore the noise and don’t chase the hype during such a volatile period. I am confident that in a medium to long term I will excel given I have learnt some tough lesson and have dropped all crypto, refocused on a longer term strategy and stopped letting noise drive my choices. What is your outlook for the rest of the year? Thank you for reading, I hope everyone is well, take care. $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $GOLD $BTC $OIL

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.

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