Peter Ahl
๐ŸŒŽ ๐™…๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ - ๐™ˆ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ฌ๐™จ๐™ก๐™š๐™ฉ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐Ÿ’ฒ ๐™’๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ฉ๐™๐™—๐™ฎ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐™”๐™๐˜ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ,๐Ÿฎ% (๐™…๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™š ๐Ÿฌ,๐Ÿฎ%) SP500 ( $SPX500 ) YTD 9,6% (June -1,1%) Risk June: 4/10 ________________________ ๐Ÿ’น ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™๐™š๐™˜๐™–๐™ฅ June was a volatile but constructive month for risk assets, with market sentiment shifting several times between inflation worries, interest-rate sensitivity, Middle East tensions and renewed strength in AI-related shares. Technology and semiconductor stocks remained at the center of the marketโ€™s attention. After a very strong run, parts of the sector saw sharp profit-taking as investors started to question valuations, margins and the future cost of the AI buildout. At the same time, the broader AI investment cycle remained intact, supported by continued demand for infrastructure, computing power and memory. Oil prices and inflation were also major market drivers. Middle East tensions pushed energy prices higher at times, creating concern that inflation could stay sticky and force central banks to remain cautious. Later in the month, easing geopolitical stress and lower oil prices helped improve risk appetite. The final trading days of June ended on a stronger note, led by a rebound in technology and semiconductor shares. ๐™Š๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™–๐™ก๐™ก, ๐™…๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™จ๐™๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ก๐™ก ๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ซ๐™š ๐™๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™š๐™ง, ๐™—๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™ก๐™š๐™–๐™™๐™š๐™ง๐™จ๐™๐™ž๐™ฅ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ข๐™–๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™š๐™ญ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™–๐™ง๐™š ๐™๐™ž๐™œ๐™. ๐™๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ ๐™š๐™จ ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™˜๐™  ๐™จ๐™š๐™ก๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ, ๐™ซ๐™–๐™ก๐™ช๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ก ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™˜๐™ž๐™–๐™ก๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ก๐™š๐™ซ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ. ๐Ÿ’ผ ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐˜ผ๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ฎ ๐™„๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค, ๐™„ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™š๐™™ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™›๐™ค๐™˜๐™ช๐™จ ๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ ๐™ฌ๐™๐™š๐™ง๐™š ๐™›๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™™๐™–๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ก๐™จ, ๐™ซ๐™–๐™ก๐™ช๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ข ๐™จ๐™ช๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ ๐™š๐™–๐™˜๐™ ๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง. I added further to $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) , which became our second-largest holding, as I still view Nvidia as attractively valued relative to its growth profile and central role in the AI infrastructure buildout. I also added to $DAVE (Dave Inc.) , $LLY (Eli Lilly & Co) and $EXEL (Exelixis Inc) . These holdings continue to show strong fundamentals, earnings growth and, in my view, attractive valuations relative to that growth. At the same time, I reduced exposure to $GLD (SPDR Gold) and $GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF) after a strong period for gold, and sold $META (Meta Platforms Inc) , $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) and $MCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) as their technical and fundamental setup became less attractive. $MU (Micron Technology, Inc.) report was one of the most relevant portfolio events of the month. It supported the view that memory has become a bottleneck in the AI value chain, which is positive for memory suppliers but also a reminder that AI is raising costs elsewhere. Looking into July, I will closely follow the Q2 earnings season, inflation data and the next Federal Reserve meeting. ๐™ˆ๐™ฎ ๐™›๐™ค๐™˜๐™ช๐™จ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ข๐™–๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™๐™–๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™š๐™™: ๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ง๐™จ๐™๐™ž๐™ฅ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ฆ๐™ช๐™–๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ฎ ๐™œ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ ๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™จ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™–๐™—๐™ก๐™š ๐™ซ๐™–๐™ก๐™ช๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ, ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™–๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™š ๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ก ๐™ฌ๐™๐™š๐™ฃ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™—๐™š๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ง๐™š ๐™จ๐™š๐™ก๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™š. ________________________________________________ ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™ฎ ๐™ƒ๐™ž๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฎ ๐˜พ๐™ช๐™ข๐™ช๐™ก๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™š ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š & ๐™๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š๐™ฅ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ (๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿญ ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™˜๐™š๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ) Number of months: 30 Annualised return (CAGR): 27,7% Volatility: 14,9% Sharpe: 1,61 ______________________________________________ ๐˜พ๐™–๐™ก๐™š๐™ฃ๐™™๐™–๐™ง ๐™”๐™š๐™–๐™ง ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š 2025 ๐™’๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ฉ๐™๐™—๐™ฎ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿฑ% / (SP500 SPX 16,4%) 2024 ๐™’๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ฉ๐™๐™—๐™ฎ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™œ๐™ฎ ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฎ,๐Ÿญ% / (SP500 SPX 23,3%) Past performance is not indicative of future results. ________________________________ ๐Ÿ’ช Portfolio winners 1 month (Holdings throughout the month) DAVE +32 % MU +19 % LLY +9 % ๐Ÿ‘Ž Portfolio losers 1 month (Holdings throughout the month) PLTR -25 % APP -16 % DECK -13 % ๐Ÿ’ฒ Other assets, performance (Holdings throughout the month); GLD (SPDR Gold) (Gold) โ€“11,7 %. ___________________________ ๐Ÿ†• New holdings added during the month; None โš ๏ธ Exits during the month; META BABA GDX (ETF) MCHI (ETF) ______________________________ #๏ธโƒฃ Number of holdings by month end: 21 (12 stocks, 9 ETFs) Cash position by month end: 20,1% _______________________________ Thanks for copying and your continued trust! ๐Ÿ™‚
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.