Ionel Van den Berg
​A powerful start to the new month as our strategy delivers a +4.71% return this past week (including June). This outpaces the S&P 500 by more than 2,5x and beats the Nasdaq 100 by over 4x. For our ongoing portfolio restructuring and the strategic switch we are making toward our Pillars, this performance validates our execution perfectly. ​Looking at the broader market, the structural shift is picking up speed. The Nasdaq 100 closed the shortened week at 29,329, firmly remaining below the key 30,000 level after a sharp semiconductor sell off. We have been anticipating this tech and chip cooldown, and it provides a highly welcome setup. It allows us to look for clean, high conviction entries without chasing overextended valuations. ​Let’s be realistic: no one knows exactly when a true bear year will strike, but after staying in a bull market for this long, the mathematical probability grows every day. A bear year is an inevitability of the market cycle. ​Because of this, my current execution is dual focused. On one hand, I am concentrating capital into higher conviction names where the underlying business remains unshakeable. On the other hand, we are strictly building the tools to absorb the shock when the tide fully turns. As part of this risk management framework, we are systematically scaling our fixed income/bond exposure up to 15% of the portfolio. ​Managing risk means preparing before the storm, not during it. Once the next bear cycle has fully run its course and cleared out the excess, that will be the exact moment to transition back to being fully invested. Until then, discipline, defensive positioning, and patience remain our core execution. The script is written, and we stick to the plan. $IB01.L (iShares $ Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF) $SPX500 $NSDQ100
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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