Victor Pedersen
Hi everyone, Sharing an early update thanks to the ongoing tariff situation. First off, I’m feeling confident about the recent volatility in my favorite growth stocks. Seeing 10 to 15 percent daily swings actually creates great trading opportunities. The market will recover eventually (timing unknown), but every profitable trade in the meantime adds value. I have often said that both $ROKU (Roku Inc) and $U (Unity Software Inc.) are in buyout range, mainly because of their relatively low market caps and strong positions in their respective industries. Several companies could benefit from acquiring them, so while I’m not banking on it, the possibility of a buyout is a meaningful upside to keep in mind. That possibility is even higher in a bear market, when these types of deals tend to happen more frequently. And yes, we are now in a bear market. Small caps in particular are down about 25 percent from their all-time highs. Since my portfolio is heavily weighted toward small caps, we are already in attractive valuation territory. That is why I have now sold all my bond positions to load up on a few select favorites. From here, the portfolio will swing between being fully invested in equities to almost fully invested with a bit of cash on the sidelines, as I expect to be trading almost daily. Bonds have become unnecessary. I would rather have idle cash sitting as buy orders than tied up elsewhere. With 10 to 15 percent swings in my favorite stocks, those buy orders are filling up quickly, and of course, the trades could hit their profit targets just as quickly too. As copiers, the smartest move during sharp market downturns is to either take advantage of the volatility by adding funds strategically, or simply stay the course and do nothing. Historically, reacting emotionally or trying to time the exact bottom has led to poor outcomes. Research shows that most long-term returns come from a small number of rebound days, and those often happen when sentiment is at its lowest. Missing those days can have a serious impact on long-term performance. Bear markets have always been temporary, and while volatility continues, the gains that follow are often long-lasting and form the foundation for the next leg of growth. It is not the market that concerns me during sharp downturns or uncertainty. It is the emotional behavior of investors on this platform. Personally, I like to think I thrive when the market is overrun by extreme volatility, and this is a good opportunity to prove it. Others may only see dark clouds and uncertainty, but I see openings worth taking. What I mean to say is this: the foundation and structure of the portfolio was already in a great place before the market dropped. Now, following the sharp decline, I was able to sell bonds and move us into an even stronger position for future returns, while also generating weekly benefits through active trading. I hope this offers some reassurance and clarity. I will be very active throughout this period, focused on creating value from the current conditions. As always, thank you for copying.
null
.