robchamow
🟡 Bitcoin For years, Bitcoin was treated like a risk asset: when the Nasdaq dropped, Bitcoin fell even more. But since 2024, that relationship is changing. And it’s no coincidence. There’s a structural shift underway that every investor should pay attention to: 🔄 From Risk Asset to Strategic Asset Bitcoin no longer behaves like a speculative tech trade. It’s evolving into a monetary asset undergoing institutional adoption. Since 2024, we’ve seen three major developments driving this transformation: 🟡 1. Growing Decorrelation from Equities • Historically, Bitcoin was highly correlated with the Nasdaq (>0.6 in 2021–2022) • In 2024, that correlation has steadily declined—at times even turning negative • Today is another example: tech stocks are falling, but Bitcoin is holding firm 📈 Why? Because Bitcoin has no cash flows or valuation multiples that get pressured by interest rates. It doesn’t depend on IRR or WACC. It’s not a business—it’s a monetary network. 🏦 2. Real Institutional Flow Thanks to the launch of spot ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, and others, institutional inflows are no longer a narrative—they’re real capital. • Bitcoin ETFs have attracted over $60 billion in assets in just a few months • Pension funds, private banks, and corporate treasuries are now involved • The holder base is changing: stronger hands, longer time horizons This type of investor doesn’t panic over an inflation report or rotate on short-term macro noise. That’s why price action is starting to reflect structural demand. 🪙 3. Acting More Like Digital Gold In times of: • Monetary instability • Rising deficits • Geopolitical tension • Interest rate shocks from mismanaged debt… …Bitcoin has begun to behave like digital gold, with some advantages: • Portable • Liquid • Finite supply (21 million) • No counterparty risk Today, as long-term bond yields rise (pressuring equities), Bitcoin is not falling. Just like gold would, it’s holding ground in a moment of market stress. 💼 What This Means for a Diversified Portfolio Bitcoin is no longer just a tech bet. In a well-built portfolio, it’s starting to make sense as a strategic asset—like gold: • Low correlation with traditional assets • High asymmetry (massive upside, limited downside) • True diversification in a world of rising debt, monetization, and geopolitical fracture Since 2024, Bitcoin has taken on a new role. It’s not a perfect hedge—but it is an antifragile asset, one that grows stronger as the legacy system gets more strained. And today, once again, we saw it clearly: as bonds crush equities, Bitcoin resists. That’s not a coincidence. It’s structure. $BTC (Bitcoin) $TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ) $NSDQ100 (NASDAQ100 Index (Non Expiry)) $SPX500 (SPX500 Index (Non Expiry)) $IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust)
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