Fabian Schneider
Microsoft Q4 & Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Summary: ๐Œ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ: ๐€๐ณ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ž! Once again, Azure was the biggest growth driver. Azure revenue: +39% Azure AI services contributed 16% points of Azure's growth. Commercial bookings increased 10%, or 18% excluding OpenAI-related timing effects. Demand for AI infrastructure remains exceptionally strong, and Microsoft continues to benefit more than any other hyperscaler from enterprise AI adoption. ๐€๐ˆ ๐๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ Perhaps the most important message of the quarter: Management stated that AI demand still exceeds available data center capacity. Microsoft continues investing aggressively in AI infrastructure, GPUs and global data centers, yet customer demand remains ahead of supply. This suggests that AI growth is far from slowing down and that Microsoft still has significant room for expansion. ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ Microsoft Cloud generated: $59.3B revenue +27% growth Commercial Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO), Microsoft's contracted future revenue backlog, increased to: $678B This represents another record and provides tremendous visibility into future revenue growth. ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ & ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง Microsoft once again generated enormous amounts of cash. FY2026 highlights: Operating Cash Flow: $133.6B Capital Expenditures: $93.1B Cash returned to shareholders: $65.8B $31.4B share repurchases $34.3B dividends ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž Outlook remains extremely strong. Management guided for another quarter of robust growth, supported by: continued Azure acceleration, expanding AI workloads, growing enterprise Copilot adoption, and ongoing demand that still exceeds available AI capacity. ๐…๐จ๐ซ ๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐ญ: ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ Microsoft announced its annual dividend increase in September 2025. Quarterly dividend: $0.83 to $0.91 Increase: +9.6% So the next annual increase is expected in September 2026. And the Payout Ratio based on FY2026 EPS and the current annual dividend of $3.64, is approximately: ~34% This remains one of the most conservative payout ratios among mega-cap technology companies. ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐’๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ What can I say? Microsoft is proving once again that it's a must-have investment. It delivered one of the strongest quarters of the entire earnings season. Azure continues to accelerate, while AI demand remains so strong that management openly acknowledged it still exceeds available capacity. To me, this is one of the clearest indicators that enterprise AI adoption is still in its early stages. Another important point is commercial backlog, which provides exceptional visibility into future revenue growth. Despite investing over $90 billion in AI infrastructure (I think what market is expecting but not too much) during the fiscal year, Microsoft continues to generate enormous free cash flow and return more than $65 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. The dividend remains very well covered, leaving plenty of room for future increases. In my view, Microsoft is and will be a great comapny that you still can buy blind! nfa $MSFT (Microsoft)
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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