Damien Albin Douarre @Lyssky: "𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐑𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐩 Another turbulent week,..."

France

𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐑𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐩 Another turbulent week, with trillions of dollars added to and erased from markets as if they were loose change. A single tweet from Trump can ignite optimism, only for an Iranian press release to instantly extinguish it. Still, we can point to the 10‑day delay in anticipated U.S. strikes on energy sites, an uncertain signal of de-escalation, but at least a mildly encouraging development in a conflict where reliable information is limited. Iran has stated that “non‑hostile vessels” may pass through the Strait of Hormuz via an approved corridor within Iranian territorial waters. In practice, however, navigation remains heavily constrained with only 5% of the usual traffic going through, with some ships reportedly paying an unofficial $2 million fee to transit. The partial closure continues to drive energy markets higher: oil fluctuates violently around $100 per barrel, and petrol prices at the pump are hitting new highs. With energy at the core of economic activity, inflation expectations in the US for 2026 have risen to 4.2%, up from 2.6% in 2025. In this environment, central banks are postponing previously anticipated rate cuts. As a result, gold and silver are reacting conversely to how they usually do in similar situations and are also under pressure, since higher interest rates offer a better risk-adjusted return. Buying precious metals after their 2-year strong rally means accepting the risk of entering a market expected to revert to its long‑term average, implying either a correction or sideways movement. Any potential upside is largely speculative. Why take on volatility in an asset that normally delivers little excitement when short‑term, capital‑guaranteed bonds offer a steady 3.7% return? Latest PPI data, combined with the prospect of prolonged energy disruptions, is weighing on growth forecasts. For now, the OECD maintains its 2026 growth estimate at 2.9% but has revised its 2027 forecast down to 3% from 3.1%. Local institutions are even more pessimistic, with multiple downward revisions for 2026. With inflation expected to outpace growth, purchasing power is set to erode further, hardly supportive of economic expansion. Lower rates would help stimulate growth (including wages), and inflation should stabilize once energy prices ease. The crypto sector wasn’t spared this week either, though it has demonstrated notable resilience. The strategy remains focused on accumulation, with more bitcoins being absorbed than created, gradually tightening supply and shifting market structure. Yet this dynamic has not translated into price performance, as crypto assets slipped slightly in line with equities. In the coming weeks, markets will be watching closely for any concrete signs of de-escalation in the Iranian conflict, which would bring immediate relief, as well as a return to the data‑driven environment seen in 2025. That's it for the first review under it's new format, tell me what you think of it in the comments. I think it's more lively this way. Have a great weekend ! Cheers 🥂 D.A.D $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $BTC $OIL 𝘋𝘪𝘴𝘤𝘭𝘢𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘳: 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘴 𝘮𝘺 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘥𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴. 𝘐𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘰𝘭𝘷𝘦𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘱𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘴.

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.