To Hike or not to hike!
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Hi,
The Fed decides on 16 September and the market calls it a coin flip, with roughly 60% pricing a hike. Headline inflation is 3.4%, core CPI is only 2.5%, so the answer depends entirely on which number you trust. I sat down with Kryštof Míšek, chief economist at Argos Capital, to go through the eighteen questions behind that decision: how rates, the dollar and the US debt are connected, whether the Fed is behind the curve, whether this is stagflation or just an oil shock, and what a hike would do to equities, bonds, the dollar and gold.
Recorded 10 September 2026, one day before the Aug...