𝗢𝗻 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻, 𝗢𝗳𝗳 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻
You can see the flip-flop rotation happening again today. Oil is down on an Iran ceasefire pause, lifting the Dow, while chips sell off again and drag the Nasdaq into the red. Money isn't leaving, it's moving. $GOOGL (Alphabet Inc Class A), $MSFT (Microsoft)... Visa mer Översätt
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝗸𝘆 𝗶𝘀 𝗙𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴
The short version: Don't Panic.
And the longer version:
If you look at a heatmap of the S&P500 today (image attached), it's clear where most of the selling pressure is. Semiconductors are taking a clobbering, and because they're such a large part of... Visa mer Översätt
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 (𝟮𝟭 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲)
𝙏𝙇;𝘿𝙍
‣ The Iran war keeps flipping on and off again. Each rumour of a deal sends oil down and equities up. Each re-escalation does the reverse. Some weeks we get both
‣ The US 30Y bond yield hit its highest level since 2007, triggering a three-day... Visa mer Översätt
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝟮𝟮 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
𝘾𝙚𝙖𝙨𝙚𝙛𝙞𝙧𝙚 𝙚𝙭𝙩𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙙, 𝙗𝙪𝙩 𝙝𝙚𝙡𝙙 𝙩𝙤𝙜𝙚𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝙩𝙖𝙥𝙚
Trump extended the ceasefire yesterday. The first round of talks obviously collapsed. A second round was expected this week, but Iran hasn't confirmed, and... Visa mer Översätt
𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟯. 𝗔𝗻𝗱 𝗖𝗼𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴.
We're over three weeks into the US-Iran war and things are escalating, not calming down. Brent crude is near USD110, Gulf energy infrastructure is under attack, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a trickle.
𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙠𝙨 𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙡
The... Visa mer Översätt
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 – 𝟮𝟯 𝗙𝗲𝗯𝗿𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
It's been a wild fortnight. The Supreme Court struck down Trump's emergency tariffs (a huge deal for global trade), but Trump responded almost immediately, slapping a new 10-15% global tariff using a different legal authority. So while... Visa mer Översätt
𝗙𝗲𝗮𝗿 = 𝗢𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗶𝘁𝘆
𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜-𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙮 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩
Stocks were expensive. Enough people became scared enough to trigger a sell-off and bring prices down. It might go further, it might not. I will cost-average into positions.
𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜-𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙮 𝙡𝙤𝙣𝙜
Once in a while, the market... Visa mer Översätt
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 (𝟮𝟮 𝗝𝗮𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲)
𝙒𝙝𝙖𝙩 𝙙𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐𝙎, 𝘾𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙖, 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙍𝙪𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙖 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙞𝙣 𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙢𝙤𝙣?
They want someone else’s country (the devil’s in the details though).
After two ugly sessions on the Greenland tariffs scare, risk came roaring back. The... Visa mer Översätt
𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸
2025 was a good year. My portfolio returned +𝟮𝟴.𝟳𝟲%, helped by staying invested through the wobbles while keeping low-volatility assets ready to deploy.
𝙆𝙚𝙮 𝙏𝙝𝙚𝙢𝙚𝙨 𝙛𝙤𝙧 2026
Trump is expected to 𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗙𝗲𝗱 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗿 𝗽𝗶𝗰𝗸... Visa mer Översätt
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 (𝟮𝟮 𝗗𝗲𝗰 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱)
The past ten days delivered 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿'𝘀 𝗰𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗰 𝘄𝗵𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗮𝘀𝗵. The $SPX500 hit record highs on 11 Dec, sold off hard through the week, then recovered to close 19 Dec essentially flat for the week. The culprit? The Fed cut rates as... Visa mer Översätt
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