Alberto Poli @pino428: "🚨 𝙒𝙃𝙀𝙉 𝙅𝘼𝙋𝘼𝙉 𝙎𝙃𝘼𝙆𝙀𝙎, 𝙏𝙃𝙀..."

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🚨 𝙒𝙃𝙀𝙉 𝙅𝘼𝙋𝘼𝙉 𝙎𝙃𝘼𝙆𝙀𝙎, 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝙒𝙊𝙍𝙇𝘿 𝙇𝙄𝙎𝙏𝙀𝙉𝙎 The past week has revealed increasingly visible cracks in the global financial system. Wall Street remains near record highs, while Japan’s government bond market has entered a phase of significant stress. Meanwhile, gold continues to set new all-time highs. 📉 𝙅𝘼𝙋𝘼𝙉: 𝘽𝙊𝙉𝘿𝙎 𝙐𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍 𝙋𝙍𝙀𝙎𝙎𝙐𝙍𝙀 Japanese Government Bonds are facing one of their most delicate phases in decades. Ten-year yields have risen above 2.3%, the highest level in more than 25 years, while market liquidity has deteriorated sharply. 𝙆𝙚𝙮 𝙛𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨: • Reduction in Bank of Japan bond purchases • Selling pressure from domestic investors • A sharp increase in foreign investor participation, largely through short-term positions The result is not just volatility, but a structurally more fragile market. 🏦 𝘽𝙊𝙅 𝙏𝙍𝘼𝙋𝙋𝙀𝘿 𝘽𝙀𝙏𝙒𝙀𝙀𝙉 𝙍𝘼𝙏𝙀𝙎 𝘼𝙉𝘿 𝙋𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙏𝙄𝘾𝙎 The Bank of Japan has kept policy rates at 0.75%, but its room for maneuver is extremely limited: • Raising rates risks accelerating the bond sell-off • Keeping rates low weakens the yen and fuels uncertainty Snap elections scheduled for February 8 and pledges of higher public spending are adding further pressure to both government debt and the currency. 🪙 𝙂𝙊𝙇𝘿 𝘼𝙏 𝙍𝙀𝘾𝙊𝙍𝘿 𝙃𝙄𝙂𝙃𝙎 Gold has moved above $4,500 per ounce, driven by: • Geopolitical tensions • Financial instability • Defensive demand • De‑dollarization Goldman Sachs highlights potential upside toward $5,400, although such levels remain conditional on broader macroeconomic developments. ₿ 𝘽𝙄𝙏𝘾𝙊𝙄𝙉: 𝙉𝙊 𝘾𝙇𝙀𝘼𝙍 𝘿𝙄𝙍𝙀𝘾𝙏𝙄𝙊𝙉 Despite a modest recovery attempt, Bitcoin remains without a clear trend and has recently slipped below $90,000. The technical picture remains fragile and well-defined: • 𝙎𝙪𝙥𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩: $87,000–$88,000. A breach of this range could lead to deeper corrections. • 𝙍𝙚𝙨𝙞𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚: $94,000–$96,000. A stable recovery above this area would be needed to reactivate a bullish trend across the crypto market. For now, Bitcoin continues to behave primarily as a risk asset, far from being a true safe haven as many had hoped. Its trajectory remains highly dependent on global liquidity and broader financial market sentiment. 🌍 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘽𝙄𝙂 𝙋𝙄𝘾𝙏𝙐𝙍𝙀 • The dollar and yen, remain under pressure • Europe appears stable but lacks growth momentum • Japan is emerging as a critical stress point for the global system 🔍 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘼𝙇 𝙎𝙐𝙈𝙈𝘼𝙍𝙔 Japan currently represents the primary stress point in the global financial system, with clear tensions across debt, liquidity, and currency markets. However, as long as these strains remain contained and liquidity mechanisms do not spill over into global markets, the broader growth cycle is not necessarily at risk. The more immediate challenge lies in structurally higher volatility—characterized by sharp moves, rapid rotations, and potentially misleading market signals. In this environment, the key is not to anticipate a crisis prematurely, but to distinguish short-term noise from structural shifts. Don't forget to copy my portfolio! $EURUSD $GOLD $BTC $JPN225

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.

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