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31.27%2026
2026
42.85%2025
2025
28.71%2024
2024
35.69%2023
2023
42.9%0%-42.9%
Rafael Lopez
​We recently initiated a position in $ACN (Accenture Plc) following a prolonged period of stock price weakness, establishing it as one of our largest portfolio allocation. Our core thesis was that the market drawdown represented an unwarranted multiple compression detached from Accenture's underlying... 顯示更多 翻譯
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ACN
Accenture Plc
210.33
-4.63 (-2.15%)
Rafael Lopez
The rationale behind corporate financial leverage is straightforward: if a company's capital investments yield a return higher than its borrowing cost, the positive spread accrues directly to equity holders as value added. Conversely, when project returns fall below the cost of debt, leverage accelerates... 顯示更多 翻譯
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GOOG
Alphabet
338.22
-5.43 (-1.58%)
Rafael Lopez
In the investment world, nothing is constant or permanent except for emotional biases. Therefore, our primary concern should be learning how to manage our own biases to avoid mistakes that can hurt our long term performance. One of the most powerful psychological traps is recency bias. It causes investors... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
"Secular stagnation seems like a description of a past long ago... the new period is one of secular growth," Kevin Warsh stated during his address to global economic leaders at the G20 ministerial meeting. Recent data supports his view: net equity offerings have turned positive for the first... 顯示更多 翻譯
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GOOG
Alphabet
338.22
-5.43 (-1.58%)
Rafael Lopez
Warren Buffett has long cited Ted Williams’ 1970 classic, The Science of Hitting, as one of the single best mental models for investing. Williams famously mapped the strike zone into 77 squares, proving that swinging only at pitches in his “sweet spot” produced a .400 batting average, while reaching... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
Banks are widely positioned to be among the largest aggregate financial beneficiaries of AI driven efficiency gains. Major consulting and investment banking studies (such as those from Citigroup, McKinsey, and PwC) consistently highlight banking as one of the sectors with the highest absolute profit... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
The phenomenon of institutional fund managers prioritizing job security over maximizing returns is one of the classic principal agent problems in asset management. Keynes captured this dynamic best: "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally."... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
Dear copiers, We have decided to make a few adjustments to our strategy in pursuit of a better balance between performance and volatility. I have recently been writing about the market impact of financial instruments, such as 0DTE options and leveraged ETFs, which, combined with a growing number of... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
The 60-day realized volatility across Technology, Media, and Telecommunications (TMT) stocks has seen a noticeable uptick in July, driven by shifting market dynamics around Big Tech capex, rate expectations, and macro uncertainty. This realized volatility was the highest in many years, even when we... 顯示更多 翻譯
Rafael Lopez
When we try to think about future semiconductors demand over the next years, we should consider the Jevons paradox and the new FDE model. Here is how the Jevons paradox and FDEs will jointly shape semiconductor demand: Jevons Paradox vs. The FDE Bottleneck: As semiconductor manufacturing and software... 顯示更多 翻譯

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巴西
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Over fifteen years' experience as a professional Value Investor.
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