US Retail Investors Call Tech Most Overvalued Sector, but Still Back AI for the Long-Term 

  • Technology viewed as the most overvalued sector in the market today 
  • Investors see AI as one of the strongest long-term investment opportunities 
  • Large technology platforms, AI-first firms and chipmakers emerge as the leading AI opportunities 
  • Retail investors increasingly focus on valuations and fundamentals when deploying capital during market downturns 

June 24, 2026 – U.S. retail investors remain firmly committed to the long-term investment opportunity presented by artificial intelligence, but the latest Retail Investor Beat from trading and investing platform eToro reveals an increasingly judicious approach to evaluating technology investments. 

eToro’s study of 1,000 US retail investors reported that technology is now viewed as the most overvalued sector in the market (28%), ahead of energy (20%) and real estate (19%).  Yet despite concerns around technology valuations, investors remain optimistic about the long-term potential of AI. The research also found investors mobilizing dollar-cost averaging, with nearly one-third (29%) saying they no longer attempt to time markets and instead invest routinely or automatically. 

AI Trade Broadens Beyond Big Tech 

While large technology platforms remain the most popular AI investment opportunity overall, the findings suggest U.S. retail investors are broadening their focus. Strong support for AI-first firms and semiconductor companies suggests investors increasingly believe the next phase of AI returns may be generated across a wider ecosystem of companies.  

When asked which segment of the AI market is most likely to generate the strongest investment returns over the next five years, investors were split: 

  • One-third (33%) of respondents believe the largest technology companies integrating AI, including Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta, are poised to generate the strongest returns. Notably, younger investors such as Generation Z and Millennial investors remain particularly bullish on large technology platforms, at 39% and 38% respectively. 
  • Specialized AI-first companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI were selected by 30% of respondents, tying with semiconductor and chipmaking companies such as Nvidia and Intel.  
  • AI software providers and cybersecurity companies benefiting from AI adoption were selected by 26% of respondents as having the strongest potential to drive returns. 

Commenting on the findings, Bret Kenwell, eToro’s US Investment Analyst, said: “As the AI trade unfolds, retail investors are getting more granular with their approach. While the AI narrative can ebb and flow every few months, this is a long-term catalyst brewing within the tech sector and has the potential to produce many winners, and losers, as time goes on. Retail investors are doing their homework and don’t plan to miss out on Wall Street’s biggest multi-year theme.” 

Investors Increasingly Focused on Fundamentals 

As retail investors work to cut through the headlines and make smarter investing decisions, they appear increasingly discerning within sectors rather than viewing each as a single trade. For example, investors are split on technology, with 28% saying it is among the most overvalued sectors, while 19% reporting it among the most undervalued. What’s more, lower valuations and strong company fundamentals rank among the top three motivations for investing during market dips, indicating a renewed focus on fundamentals as retail investors search for their next opportunity.  

Bret Kenwell concluded: “Retail investors continue to show that experience is earned over time. They are not abandoning risk or losing optimism, but they are becoming more thoughtful about how they take that risk, with greater attention to portfolio construction, diversification, valuation, and fundamental analysis. 

“They remain positioned around long-term themes like AI and broader market growth but are not blindly chasing momentum. Instead, they are becoming more selective, more aware of potential risks, and more willing to adjust accordingly. That does not signal bearishness, it signals a more disciplined and selective investor.”

ENDS 

Notes to editors 

The latest Retail Investor Beat was based on a survey of 11,000 retail investors across 13 countries and 3 continents. The following countries had 1,000 respondents: UK, US, Germany, France, Australia, Singapore, Italy and Spain. The following countries had 600 respondents: Netherlands, Denmark, Poland, Romania, and the Czech Republic. 

The survey was conducted from May 14 – 29, 2026 and carried out by research company Opinium. Retail investors were defined as self-directed or advised and had to hold at least one investment product including shares, bonds, funds, investment ISAs or equivalent. They did not need to be eToro users. 

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