New year fitness boom fails to lift most fitness stocks

  • Exercise and gym participation typically rises at the start of the year, but returns across fitness stocks remain uneven
  • Most long-term gains have come from fitness companies with B2B or commercial revenue exposure
  • eToro analysis shows investors have favoured business models with more predictable and consistent cash flows and pricing power over those dependent on cyclical consumer sales

LONDON, 27 January 2026: The start of the year usually brings an increase in gym memberships as people look to reset after the indulgent holiday period. That pattern has held again this year. Share prices, however, tell a different story. Analysis from trading and investing platform eToro shows an equal-weighted basket of listed fitness stocks is up 9% over the past year and 40% over three years, but just 14% over five years, despite steady growth in fitness participation.

Performance over longer periods has become increasingly uneven. Short- and medium-term gains have been driven by a small number of stocks, while five-year returns have been weighed down by sharp declines among several consumer-facing names. Companies with greater exposure to B2B, commercial or institutional demand have contributed most of the long-term upside, while businesses more reliant on discretionary consumer spending have seen weaker share price outcomes.

This split has emerged even as the fitness industry continues to expand. A 2025 HFA Global report shows global gym memberships rose 6% year-on-year, while the number of fitness facilities increased by nearly 4%, indicating that participation has continued to grow even as market performance has diverged.

Lale Akoner, Global Market Analyst at eToro, said: “Seasonal spikes in gym usage are visible every January, but equity markets look through that noise. What ultimately matters for valuation is the durability of cash flows. Fitness companies that rely heavily on discretionary consumer spend remain exposed to margin pressure and demand volatility, particularly in a higher cost environment. By contrast, businesses with commercial exposure, recurring contracts, and pricing power have delivered far more resilient returns over time.”

Among the stronger performers, commercial demand has been an important factor. Technogym, which supplies premium equipment to gyms, hotels and wellness centres, has benefited from institutional investment and replacement cycles, delivering 102% returns over five years. Garmin combines consumer sales with exposure to commercial and professional markets, including aviation and marine, supporting repeat upgrades within a broader product ecosystem and 62% returns over the same period.

At the other end of the range, companies more dependent on one-off consumer purchases and high fixed costs have seen much weaker share price performance as demand normalised after the pandemic period. Peloton remains down 96% over five years, highlighting how sensitive some fitness business models have been to changes in consumer behaviour and operating leverage.

Akoner added: “What we’re seeing is the unwinding of very different post-pandemic expectations. Some fitness stocks were priced for sustained consumer intensity that simply hasn’t materialised. As demand normalised, high fixed costs and operating leverage were exposed, and investors adjusted accordingly. Businesses aligned to institutional spending cycles have been far better insulated from that reset.”

Brand Returns 1 year Returns 3 years Returns 5 years
Fitness focused brands
The Gym Group 20% 21% -21%
Peloton -29% -47% -96%
Planet Fitness -7% 22% 22%
Garmin -7% 107% 62%
Technogym 66% 97% 102%
Basket average 9% 40% 14%

Table showing performance of a basket of fitness focused stocks

Share price data taken at market close 21/01/2026. Index performance calculated in USD terms. Data from Refinitiv. Past performance is not an indication of future results

ENDS

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